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Balancing the Union

The Statesman Kolkata

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March 22, 2025

India's impending delimitation exercise presents a complex and deeply emotive challenge.

At its heart lies the old North-South divide – an issue that has simmered quietly for decades but now threatens to reshape the political future of the world's largest democracy. The fundamental tension stems from an irony. Southern states, through consistent investments in education, healthcare, and social welfare, have succeeded in reducing population growth. Northern states, by contrast, still grapple with higher fertility rates and developmental challenges. Yet it is the population that largely determines political representation. As a result, the South now fears being penalized for its progress. Delimitation has the potential to drastically increase parliamentary seats for northern states, shifting the power axis decisively towards the Hindi belt. States like Uttar Pradesh and Bihar, already influential, could see their clout multiply. Southern states, particularly Tamil Nadu, Kerala, Karnataka, and Andhra Pradesh, could see their relative influence shrink – despite their stronger economic and social indicators. At the heart of this debate lies a deeper question: should India prioritize political equity or demographic reality? Reconciling these competing imperatives is critical to maintaining the delicate balance that underpins India's federal structure and democratic ethos. This is not just a question of numbers but of competing visions for India. Southern states often pride themselves on a pluralistic, inclusive political culture, emphasizing federalism and linguistic identity. A new power imbalance could widen existing rifts, giving rise to regional discontent and even fueling separatist undercurrents. The challenge for India's leadership is to manage this delicate recalibration without breaking the federal compact. Any delimitation must recognize that representation cannot be determined solely by population. Governance outcomes, economic contribution, and demographic resp

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