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The Trump effect Scramble to assess winners and losers in the new era
The Guardian
|November 08, 2024
Donald Trump's victory in the US presidential election left investors and business leaders across the globe scrambling to assess what his return to the White House will mean.
Stock markets, the dollar and bitcoin rallied in the immediate aftermath of his win, while shares in defence companies, prison operators and Elon Musk's Tesla rose sharply. Meanwhile, renewable energy companies and German carmakers' stocks fell. Here, we consider the outlook for important industries.
Manufacturing and cars Global manufacturers are firmly in Trump's sights. Threatened 10% tariffs on all goods imports - and up to 60% and 100% for China and Mexico respectively - would inevitably be passed on to US buyers, raising prices and depressing import volumes. Pharmaceutical, automotive and chemicals are the most exposed industries because they represent the lion's share of European exports to the US, according to Morningstar DBRS, a credit rating agency. Vaccine makers around the world such as Pfizer, BioNTech and GSK will be watching Trump's appointments closely, after the president-elect indicated he would discuss policy with anti-vaccine ally Robert F Kennedy Jr. In the longer term, more international manufacturers may try to get inside the protectionist wall by building US factories. Jasper Jolly Technology Tech is a crucial industry for the US economy and Trump has already signalled support for the cryptocurrency sector.
This story is from the November 08, 2024 edition of The Guardian.
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