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EIU: BSP rate seen to hit 3.25% in '26
Manila Bulletin
|October 20, 2025
The Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas’ (BSP) policy rate may fall to as low as 3.25 percent by next year amid slowing Philippine economic growth, according to the Economist Intelligence Unit (EIU).
In an Oct. 13 report obtained by Manila Bulletin, EIU Asia analyst Kalyani Honrao said they continue to expect the BSP to cut key interest rates by 25 basis points (bps) when the Monetary Board (MB) next decides on the monetary policy stance on Dec. 11, the last policy meeting for 2025.
Beyond a projected policy rate of 4.5 percent before year-end, EIU expects 125 bps more in rate cuts in 2026.
According to EIU, the terminal rate for the key interest rate would be 3.25 percent by the third quarter of next year.
EIU correctly forecast the BSP’s pause in easing last February and the four successive rate cuts in April, June, August, and October.
This story is from the October 20, 2025 edition of Manila Bulletin.
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