Labour faces prospect of 'wipeout' at the polls

TORIES PREDICTED TO LOSE OUT TOO TO GREENS, REFORM AND INDEPENDENTS

- JANE HAYNES News Reporter

The council for 14 years, is predicted to suffer a devastating collapse when voters turn out in May

LABOUR is set to be wiped out in the imminent all-out Birmingham City Council election, retaining just a handful of seats, according to polling shared exclusively with the Birmingham Mail.

The party, which has led the council for 14 years, is predicted to suffer a devastating collapse when voters turn out in May. Independents, Greens and Reform UK will be the big winners, according to the modelling.

The Conservatives, currently the second biggest group on the council, would also become largely redundant outside of Sutton Coldfield, while an expected surge in the Liberal Democrats vote is not reflected in the poll.

The council is predicted to end up with no political group in overall control, with parties likely to require coalitions or compromise to push through policies.

The polling has been carried out by Bombe, an audience insight specialist that is using a unique consumer behaviour model to predict voting.

The model will be updated weekly in the run-up to the May 2026 elections as real-world data evolves, developing its accuracy over time and keeping it in step with public sentiment and shifts in the national mood, says Mike Joslin, co-founder and CEO.

We understand these early insights have already caused huge consternation, particularly among Labour campaign chiefs, who still hope to fare better than expected in the forthcoming elections.