Tests for next Asean chair

Key US ally Philippines could steer progress in Myanmar, Cambodia crises, writes Poramet Tangsathaporn

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With the Philippines assuming the Asean chairmanship next year after Malaysia, Thailand's regional role, as well as security relations with neighbours, will be tested, analysts say.

Anekchai Rueangrattanakorn, adjunct lecturer in political science, Silpakorn University, said Bangkok has begun early talks with Manila. Foreign Affairs Minister Sihasak Phuangketkeow made an introductory phone call to Maria Theresa P Lazaro, the Philippines' foreign affairs secretary, on Oct 3.

They discussed the Thailand-Cambodia border, among other pressing regional issues, including the Myanmar crisis and the row over the South China Sea.

Mr Sihasak also had a discussion with Justice Antonio T Carpio, a former member of the Supreme Court of the Philippines, and a delegation from Facts, a Philippines-based think tank on security and foreign policy. These discussions reflected the Philippines' readiness to work on security issues during its chairmanship next year, said Mr Anekchai.

ASEAN'S BALANCING ACT

The Philippines' chairmanship comes as Myanmar skips its turn due to its civil war and because the bloc decided in September to bar the country's military junta from assuming the rotational term. "If the Philippines can really push the peace process in Myanmar, the spotlight will be on it since the issue has been ongoing since 2021, and it is a major regional security concern," he said.

The Philippines, a US ally, may use this as an advantage to push for peace in Myanmar. China would continue to assert its role in Myanmar, but by acting through the Philippines, the US could maintain its role in Asean more effectively.

The South China Sea issue also could pose challenges to the Philippines as Asean chair, as Manila often tussles with Beijing over this matter.