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Long-range Response

Outlook

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May 21, 2025

The transformation of India's strategic restraint to calibrated retaliation against Pakistan

- Gurjit Singh

Long-range Response

THE missile-based response to the Pahalgam terror attack, known as Operation Sindoor, was not a mere retaliation—it is emblematic of a new doctrine shaping India’s relationship with Pakistan. Targeting nine terror facilities in Pakistan and Pakistan-occupied Kashmir (PoK), this operation is a continuation of an evolving strategic shift that began with the 2016 Uri surgical strikes and matured with the Balakot airstrikes in 2019.

What makes this moment significant is not just the military precision or the symbolism, but the clarity with which India has chosen to abandon the shackles of its earlier doctrine of strategic restraint. This transformation has been catalysed by Pakistan’s unwavering use of cross-border terrorism as a tool of statecraft, protected under the illusion of a nuclear shield.

The End of Strategic Restraint

For decades, Pakistan has operated under a calculated assumption: that its nuclear capabilities would deter India from responding to terror strikes in any meaningful military manner. This playbook allowed Pakistan to wage an asymmetric war against India through non-state actors.

The evolving Indian posture is altering that logic. India, sensitive to the domestic call for justice and accountability after each major terror strike, has moved towards a more proactive and punitive strategy. From surgical strikes to aerial bombardments, and now precision missile attacks, the threshold of tolerance has narrowed. While the red line for retaliation may remain undefined publicly, India has made it clear that provocation—especially attacks targeting civilians and tourists—will trigger a response.

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