Why I fear Trump will win

Point of view

- By J. MANUEL GONZÁLEZ

In our last presidential election, I predicted to friends on Facebook that Leni Robredo risked losing because her campaign was solely geared to the tastes and wants of the elite — more hospital beds (irrelevant if you can't afford hospitals), pink ribbons (not a confidence-inspiring, "take-charge" kind of color), motorcades (to further emphasize which kinds of Filipinos support her).

I'm no longer on Facebook (I'm out of social media, just raises blood pressure and gets you into arguments and sniping — suggest you get out, too), but I still can't help making predictions.

I think Trump will win, with 320 electoral votes, far more than the magic 270 that would constitute 50.2 percent. My gut factors (trying to dissociate from all my personal desires and prejudices) are:

1. Trump is a wandering and disjointed speaker, but Harris is squeaky, doesn't sound commanding. The first woman US president will need a voice and an image like Sigourney Weaver in "Alien."

2. The average young American cannot identify the US capital. (Watch Jay Leno Jaywalking on YouTube.) The average American cannot correctly calculate a two-digit percentage. This is due to the liberal wave of the past decades condemning discipline and hard work at home and in school ("it will destroy the child's spirit") and insisting on empty praise whether earned or not ("Good job! You're a super-hero for throwing the candy wrapper in the trash-bin!") which has been a major contributor to rampant ignorance in America.