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Private credit nears 2020-level slump

Mint Hyderabad

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December 30, 2025

Business development firms are set for their worst year relative to the S&P 500 since 2020, leading some investors to question their future in the $1.7 trillion private credit market.

Private credit nears 2020-level slump

Private credit has declined 6.6% this year

(ISTOCKPHOTO)

The Cliffwater BDC Index, which tracks 41 vehicles that house direct loans, is down about 6.6% this year through Dec. 2204, versus the S&P 500’s roughly 18.1% gain, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. In 2023 and 2024, the BDC index gained about 25.4% and 4.1%, respectively.

The vehicles have been pummeled by a storm of rate cuts, market blowups and risingsigns that the market is set to experience more stress. A lack of deals this year forced private lenders to shrink margins on loans, diminishing how much they can earn.

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