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INDIA'S ECONOMIC ENIGMA: GROWTH WITHOUT INCLUSION

BW Businessworld

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July 12, 2025

IN THE HUMMING TECH corridors of Hyderabad and the crowded alleys of Benaras, two Indias jostle for space. One speaks the language of unicorns, private equity, and digital payments. The other is still tethered to subsistence farming, informal jobs, and fragile health systems. Together, they constitute an economic paradox: a nation that has raced to become the world's fourth-largest economy, and yet over 60 per cent of its citizens earn less than $5,000 a year.

- By Vikas Singh

INDIA'S ECONOMIC ENIGMA: GROWTH WITHOUT INCLUSION

Earlier this year India surged past Japan in GDP rankings, a symbolic milestone in its long march toward greatpower status. It is poised to overtake Germany by 2027. But the celebration is tempered by a sobering statistic: per capita income lingers at just $3,800, barely a quarter of China's. Germany's per capita stands at $5,500. This is not merely a gap in wealth but in opportunity, dignity, and future potential. India may be rising, but millions remain on the ground.

The government trumpets growth figures, stock indices soar, and global CEOs hail India as the next engine of the world economy. But a closer look reveals an unsettling question: is this growth lifting all boats - or just a few luxury yachts?

The Two-Lane Highway of Consumption

India’s median age of 28 presents a powerful “youth bulge,” a potential demographic dividend. However, this opportunity isn’t guaranteed. Without substantial investment in quality education, healthcare, and job creation, this advantage could transform into a crisis. With only two decades before its working-age population peaks, India faces a critical challenge: ensuring growth is inclusive and sustainable. Underfunded education, patchy skilling, and under-resourced healthcare, especially in rural areas, threaten this prospect. Even as the digital economy flourishes, low female labour force participation and limited formal employment mean this new wealth isn’t necessarily translating into widespread livelihoods.

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