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Analysts turn wary for rest of 2025
Bangkok Post
|July 04, 2025
Investment analysts have adopted a cautious stance for the second half of the year, citing growing political instability, slowing economic momentum and global uncertainty.
They downgraded their Thai GDP growth and Stock Exchange of Thailand (SET) index projections, prompting a call for greater portfolio diversification while recommending allocations of up to 33% of investments to foreign equities and international funds to mitigate rising risks.
Sombat Narawutthichai, secretary-general of the Investment Analysts Association, shared insights from the association’s third-quarter survey, conducted with analysts and fund managers from 22 financial institutions.
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The survey found analysts downgraded Thailand’s 2025 GDP growth forecast to an average of 1.87%, down from 2.56% in the previous quarter. Forecasts now range between 1.4% and 2.4%.
Key assumptions underpinning these projections include an average crude oil price of $68.65 per barrel, a risk-free rate of 2.22%, and an average equity risk premium of 7.74%.
Dit verhaal komt uit de July 04, 2025-editie van Bangkok Post.
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