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Poll predicts Reform UK would win most seats if an election was held now
The Sentinel
|April 21, 2025
REFORM UK would be on course to win most seats with no party close to an overall majority if an election were held imminently, a new poll suggests.
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Labour could lose 246 MPs, including 10 Cabinet ministers, with major losses in the so-called red wall, Scotland and the Welsh Valleys, according to the More in Common survey.
Based on polling of more than 16,000 people, the data suggests a potential fracturing of the vote that could reshape the electoral map, with Labour's support splintering left and right.
Reform would win 180 seats on an implied vote share of 23.7%, with the Tories and Labour tied on 165 seats each at 24.3% and 24.5% respectively, according to the modelling.
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