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Reform would win election if held tomorrow, poll finds
The Independent
|June 22, 2025
Reform UK has taken a dramatic nine-point lead over Labour, a new poll has revealed. The Ipsos survey showed Reform had 34 per cent of the vote share, compared to Labour’s 25 per cent.
This means that if a general election were held tomorrow, Reform's leader Nigel Farage would probably be elected prime minister.
Meanwhile, the Conservatives had only 15 per cent of the estimated vote share in the lowest result ever recorded by Ipsos, and the highest ever for Reform.
The figures from the polling of 1,180 people show Labour's plunging popularity, after winning the 2024 general election with the biggest majority since Tony Blair.
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