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Bank could delay interest rate cuts as food and travel costs fuel inflation
The Guardian
|August 21, 2025
UK inflation rose again last month to a higher-than-expected 3.8% amid higher food prices and travel costs, adding to fears that the Bank of England will delay further interest rate cuts.
Figures showed the annual rate as measured by the consumer prices index climbed from June's 3.6% reading, sitting above the central bank's 2% target for the 10th consecutive month. That overshot financial market forecasts of a 3.7% figure for July and makes another reduction in the cost of borrowing this year unlikely, with financial markets not fully pricing in the chance of a fresh quarter-point cut until next spring.
The data also suggests rail fares are likely to rise by 5.8% next year. Increases in regulated train ticket prices are usually calculated by adding 1 percentage point to July's inflation reading as measured by the retail prices index, which was 4.8%.
The Office for National Statistics said a jump in air fares was behind much of the increase in average prices. Tickets on flights out of the UK rose 30% month on month, although much of the increase was because of the earlier timing of the summer holiday break.
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