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Where is the inflation rate heading amid hostilities?

Derby Telegraph

|

March 24, 2026

UK inflation is expected to have been broadly steady last month but experts warn of another “twist” to the cost-of-living story in the months ahead, as war in the Middle East is set to send energy bills soaring.

The rate of Consumer Prices Index (CPI) inflation has been gradually easing back towards the Bank of England's 2% target level since last summer.

Some analysts are expecting CPI to have held relatively steady in February, or dipped slightly, from the 3% level recorded in January.

Official figures for last month will be published on Wednesday.

Economists for Deutsche Bank and Pantheon Macroeconomics said they are anticipating CPI to hold steady at 3% in February, with lower fuel and services inflation being offset by higher clothes prices and air fares.

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