Geoeconomic confrontation tops global risk outlook: WEF

GEOECONOMIC confrontation has emerged as the most pressing global risk for 2026, underscoring a world increasingly shaped by rivalry, fragmentation and economic weaponisation, according to the World Economic Forum's (WEF) Global Risks Report 2026 released on Wednesday.

- SIPHELELE DLUDLA

The report, now in its 21st edition, warns that geopolitical tensions, rising economic volatility and accelerating technological change are converging to create an era of heightened uncertainty.

Half of the more than 1 300 global leaders and experts surveyed expect the global outlook over the next two years to be turbulent or stormy, while only 1% anticipate a period of calm.

Geoeconomic confrontation — defined by the use of trade restrictions, sanctions, industrial policy and economic leverage to advance national interests — climbed eight places to top the near-term risk rankings for 2026.

It was also ranked as the most severe risk over the next two years, reflecting deep concern over the impact of geopolitical rivalry on global supply chains, inflation, growth and international cooperation.