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OECD says Britain will have highest inflation rate of G7 nations this year

The Guardian

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September 24, 2025

The UK is expected to suffer the highest inflation among the G7 nations this year, the Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development has said.

- Heather Stewart Phillip Inman

Amid resurgent food prices, with some retailers blaming the UK government's £25bn-a-year increase in employer national insurance contributions (NICs) for pushing up costs, the OECD predicts that inflation in the UK will average 3.5% this year.

The figure is well above even the US, at 2.7%, despite Donald Trump imposing the biggest tariffs since the 1930s on imports - a policy expected to push up prices.

The OECD said UK inflation would slow to 2.7% next year, still well above the Bank of England's 2% target.

The Bank has pointed to regulated prices such as water and energy bills, as well as the NICs rise, to help explain above-target inflation.

The OECD also suggested tough tax and spending plans would put the brakes on economic growth in the UK over the next 12 months.

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