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Moody's Analytics Cuts India's 2025 GDP Growth Forecast to 6.1 pc

The Daily Guardian

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April 11, 2025

Moody's Analytics on Thursday cut India's GDP growth forecast to 6.1 percent for 2025 due to looming higher US reciprocal tariff threats.

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Moody's Analytics Cuts India's 2025 GDP Growth Forecast to 6.1 pc

It said the US is one of India's largest trading partners, so a 26 percent tariff hovering over imports of Indian goods will heavily impede the trade balance.

"We revised India's GDP growth forecast to 6.1 percent in 2025 from 6.4 percent in our March baseline," said the Moody's Analytics report titled 'APAC Outlook: U.S. Versus Them'.

It said gems and jewellery, medical devices, and textile industries will be among the worst hit.

Regardless, we expect overall growth to be relatively insulated from the shock since external demand makes up a relatively small portion of GDP, Moody's Analytics said.

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