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Reform UK would win most Notts MP seats in election - poll

Nottingham Post

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October 04, 2025

LABOUR WOULD SUFFER HUGE DEFEAT, ACCORDING TO YOUGOV ANALYSIS

- By OLIVER PRIDMORE

A MAJOR poll has predicted that Reform UK would almost sweep the board if a general election were held tomorrow.

YouGov's seat-by-seat analysis, based on a survey of 13,000 individuals, indicates that Nigel Farage's Reform would secure 311 seats in the Commons.

This falls just shy of a majority, but leaves no room for any other party to take the reins of the country. Reform currently boasts only five MPs, so the poll forecasts a huge gain of 306 seats for the party.

Nottinghamshire has 11 constituencies and Reform currently only has one of them in the shape of Lee Anderson's Ashfield. The poll predicts that a new election would see Reform going from one Nottinghamshire MP to seven.

The Conservatives would lose their only MP - Newark’s Robert Jenrick - and Labour would lose five of their current MPs.

Councillor Sam Smith, who is the Conservative leader of the opposition at Nottinghamshire County Council, reacted to the poll by attacking Reform’s record so far in running that authority.

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