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Smart GDP growth casts shadow over December rate cut

Mint Bangalore

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December 01, 2025

The Reserve Bank of India’s (RBI's) Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) is widely expected to keep the policy rate unchanged on 5 December, even as a sizable minority of economists argues that the space created by softening inflation and moderating nominal growth warrants another rate cut.

- Subhana Shaikh

A Mint poll of 13 economists shows nine expecting a pause, while four of them are anticipating a 25 basis points cut to 5.25%, underscoring how finely balanced the December decision is likely to be. (One basis point equals 0.01%.)

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