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Alarm Bells

The Caravan

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April 2025

The air chief marshal's warnings about the crisis in the IAF can no longer be ignored / Security

- SUSHANT SINGH

Alarm Bells

It takes a lot for a military chief to go public with his grievances—especially under the Modi regime. That Air Chief Marshal AP Singh recently did so highlights the severity of the crisis in the Indian Air Force. He has warned that the IAF is struggling to maintain its operational edge, making it imperative to fast-track acquisitions and plug the equipment shortfall.

The Modi government recently formed a committee, chaired by the defence secretary, which has already submitted a report that has been classified as “Secret.” This classification indicates that the crisis is so grave that it needs to be hidden from the public. The committee has done its job. Now, the political leadership must act.

In 2011, the IAF sent a proposal to the defence ministry to increase its sanctioned fighter aircraft strength from 39.5 to 45 combat squadrons. The rationale for this was that India should be prepared for a two-front war—a collusive threat from China and Pakistan. The Manmohan Singh government, which raised additional forces and built border infrastructure along China, sanctioned 42.5 squadrons. India currently has 31, with a very poor rate of inducting new fighter aircraft in the past decade. There are no off-the-shelf foreign procurements planned either. In 2016, the defence analyst Ashley Tellis assessed the IAF's requirement to be at least sixty squadrons.

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