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Britain set for economic lift as global forecast upgraded

The Independent

|

July 30, 2025

The world economy will grow faster than expected after the impact of Donald Trump's tariff war wanes and imports to the US surge, new projections show.

- ARCHIE MITCHELL KATE DEVLIN MILLIE COOKE

Britain set for economic lift as global forecast upgraded

The British economy could experience a small boost, with the International Monetary Fund (IMF) upgrading its growth predictions by just 0.1 per cent for 2025. Growth is expected to sit at 1.2 per cent this year and 1.4 per cent for 2026, according to the organisation's latest World Economic Outlook forecasts.

The IMF said the global economy would be more resilient than it expected in May. Global growth is set to be 3 per cent this year and 3.1 per cent next year, up from 2.8 per cent and 3 per cent respectively.

Like Britain, Germany and Italy have both had their growth upgraded by 0.1 per cent for 2025. However, both have received no upgrade for 2026. Meanwhile, Canada was handed a marginally bigger upgrade of 0.2 per cent in 2025 and 0.3 per cent in 2026, taking its growth to 1.6 per cent in 2025 and 1.9 per cent in 2026.

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