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40-20 rule
The Freeman
|March 04, 2026
Phil Jackson has an interesting analogy in determining the chances of an NBA team winning the championship — if a team reaches 40 wins in the regular season before losing 20 games, it has a real chance of making it to the Finals.
Of the last 20 champions, an amazing 18 teams fall on the “40 before 20” indicator.
This season, three teams officially qualify in this criteria — Detroit, Oklahoma and San Antonio. They are currently the top three in the overall standings. The Pistons, with a .763-win percentage, leads the league with a 45-14 win-loss record. The Thunder comes in second with 47-15 (.758) followed by the Spurs, 43-17 (.717).
The Boston Celtics fell out of the equation with their loss to Denver last week, giving them a 38-20 record. Currently, with a 2-game win streak, they are fourth overall in the standings with 40-20.
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