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Votes that'll shape the nation (or at least the narrative)

Los Angeles Times

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October 31, 2025

The pundits are breathless, and the predictions are dubious

- MATT K. LEWIS CONTRIBUTING WRITER

TUESDAY IS ELECTION DAY, and, as usual, the pundits are breathless, the predic tions are dubious and the consultants are already counting their retainers. But make no mistake: Off-year elections matter. Tuesday's results will shape the political land scape for 2026 and beyond.

Let's start in California, where Gov. Gavin Newsom has decided to fight Texas Republican gerrymandering with a little creative cartography of his own.

Proposition 50, which began as the “Election Rig ging Response Act,” wouldn’t just help level the playing field by handing Democrats five House seats; it would also boost Newsom's presidential ambitions. Polls suggest it'll pass.

When it comes to elections involving actual candidates, the main attractions are in New York, New Jersey and Virginia.

In the New York City mayoral contest, Zohran Mamdani — a 34-year-old democratic socialist who seems like the kind of guy who probably buys albums on vinyl — is leading both former Gov. Andrew Cuomo (running as an independent) and Republican Curtis Sliwa.

National Republicans are already making Mamdani the avatar of everything Fox News viewers fear.

President Trump went so far as calling Mamdani a “communist” and threatening to send in the troops if he wins.

One thing is for certain: Mamdani is already a symbol. If he wins, he'll be evidence for progressives that politics can still be interesting, exciting and revolutionary. To conservatives, he'll be evidence that Democrats have gone insane.

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