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Pact poised to boost growth: Economists

Financial Express Lucknow

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February 04, 2026

Trade deal with US seen lifting growth by 20-30 bps in FY27

- FE BUREAU

THE SHARP REDUCTION in US tariffs from 50% to 18% on Indian goods, the lowest compared to Southeast Asian countries and China, may add 20-30 basis points (bps) to the GDP growth in FY27, offering support at a time when global trade conditions remain uncertain.

Chief Economic Adviser V Anantha Nageswaran indicated that India's growth next year could end up close to the current year's pace. Speaking to Bloomberg, he said growth in 2026-27 could be "probably something close to this year's growth estimate of 7.4%," though he added that this was an initial assessment subject to further analysis.

In the latest Economic Survey, finance ministry economists, led by Nageswaran, had projected growth in a range of 6.8%-7.2% for FY27, compared with the first advance estimate of 7.4% for FY26.

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