Can Pheu Thai retain its grip on power?

Thaksin Shinawatra reappeared in politics after a conspicuous absence following the leak of the phone conversation between his daughter, Prime Minister Paetongtarn and former Cambodian PM Hun Sen.

- Chairith Yonpiam

He expressed confidence that Ms Paetongtarn, who has been suspended from duty as prime minister over the content of the controversial telephone call, will survive the ongoing crisis. But this was always going to be wishful thinking.

While speaking on a chat show, the Pheu Thai Party's de facto leader likened the suspension of Ms Paetongtarn, pending a court ruling, to that of Gen Prayut Chan-o-cha, saying the latter was later acquitted. And in his view, this might also be the case for his daughter.

Besides, Thaksin has confidence that Thai politics will not experience a deadlock as long as he is around.

Political pundits, however, envisage the opposite scenario for Ms Paetongtarn, who is currently serving as culture minister. The Constitutional Court is expected to hand down a ruling against her in a month or two. In fact, the Pheu Thai Party cannot afford to be so optimistic regarding Ms Paetongtarn’s political future. It is involved in a tough game with Bhumjaithai, a friend turned foe, which is pushing for Anutin Charnvirakul to take the political baton as “interim prime minister” in accordance with a proposal drawn up by the People’s Party.

Pheu Thai's immediate plan is to pass the torch to Chaikasem Nitisiri, the party's third prime ministerial candidate, who has regained his strength after a long illness. Mr Chaikasem, now 76 years of age, told the media he’s ready for the top job when the time comes.