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‘Sell-In-May' Stock Market Strategy Has Not Really Worked Since 1980
Mad About Money
|June 2018
‘SELL- IN- MAY –AND – GO – AWAY’ IS A COMMON SAYING IN TRADING PARLANCE WHICH WARNS INVESTORS TO SELL THEIR STOCK HOLDINGS IN MAY TO ESCAPE A SEASONAL DECLINE IN EQUITY MARKETS. ACCORDING TO THIS STRATEGY, INVESTORS REMAIN IN CASH FROM MAY TO OCTOBER WHEN MARKETS ARE DULL AND RE-ENTER THE MARKETS IN NOVEMBER WHEN THEY BEGIN TO BOUNCE BACK.
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Origin of the Adage
The origin of this adage is believed to be the old English saying “Sell in May and go away and come back on St Leger’s day”. There was a time when English aristocrats would retreat to the country in summer to escape the heat and return to London for St Leger’s stakes, a thoroughbred horse race held in mid –September.
American traders adopted this investment strategy because it is a practice with them to take vacations between Memorial Day and Labor Day.
Is There Any Truth in the Adage?
Investing in the stock market would be a lot simpler if you could depend on such a maxim. But research shows that the buyand- hold strategy will fetch greater returns over time. Data says that exiting the markets at the beginning of May and getting back into it in November will only hurt long-term returns.
Why the Strategy Does Not Work
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