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What could Trump's tariff plans mean for future trade?

The Independent

|

November 11, 2024

Donald Trump's election has sparked fears of a global trade war after his campaign pledge to impose levies of 10 to 20 per cent on all goods imported from US trading partners, and up to 60 per cent and 100 per cent for China and Mexico.

- MILLIE COOKE

What could Trump's tariff plans mean for future trade?

Mr Trump’s first term in office saw him clash with China, which had growth impacts across the world’s more advanced economies. But this time around, there is the possibility of a renewed global trade war on an even bigger scale following increasingly protectionist rhetoric on the campaign trail.

How could tariffs impact the UK?

As well as being the world’s largest economy, the US is the UK’s largest export market for goods and services. If the presidentelect were to impose 10 per cent tariffs on all goods imported from the UK, it’s very likely this would negatively impact economic growth.

New analysis from the University of Sussex’s Centre for Inclusive Trade Policy calculated Britain could face a £22bn hit to its exports if a blanket 20 per cent tariff was imposed on all imports into the US, with UK exports to the world falling by more than 2.6 per cent.

MEER VERHALEN VAN The Independent

The Independent

The Independent

Burnham tipped to stand as Labour ex-minister resigns

A former Labour minister who had the whip removed over offensive WhatsApp messages has stood down as an MP, clearing the way for Sir Keir Starmer's potential leadership rival Andy Burnham.

time to read

4 mins

January 23, 2026

The Independent

The Independent

‘The energy that we got out of them was just beautiful’

Twenty years on, Whatever People Say I Am, That’s What I’m Not’, Arctic Monkeys’ debut album, remains the bedrock of modern British guitar music. Mark Beaumont hears from its producers, Alan Smyth and Jim Abbiss, about its genesis

time to read

9 mins

January 23, 2026

The Independent

The Independent

'A stranger approached... he was secretly filming me'

Experts say smart glasses are being used to violate women's privacy and threaten their safety online. Why isn't more being done to combat this trend

time to read

4 mins

January 23, 2026

The Independent

The Independent

Buckley earns Oscars nod as Sinners gets 16 nominations

Ryan Coogler’s inventive vampire horror film Sinners has made Oscars history with a staggering 16 nominations, while Hamnet earned eight, including Irish actor Jessie Buckley, who is bookies' favourite in the Best Actress category.

time to read

2 mins

January 23, 2026

The Independent

The Independent

‘He is building casinos on the graves of Palestinians’

As images of New Gaza’ are unveiled, Alex Hannaford looks at the role of the US president’s son-in-law, Jared Kushner, in the rebuild and other controversial construction projects

time to read

7 mins

January 23, 2026

The Independent

The Independent

Without the US, Nato will have to be Europeanised

For most of my professional life, I operated on a single, unshakeable assumption: the United States was the cornerstone of Western security.

time to read

3 mins

January 23, 2026

The Independent

The Independent

Trump's new enterprise is both absurd and worrying

The US president’s board of peace’ is the clearest sign yet of his expansionist intentions, writes a concerned Bel Trew

time to read

3 mins

January 23, 2026

The Independent

The Independent

Gritty 'dogs of war' making strides at Australian Open

An increasing number of battle-hardened players from the US college tennis system are fighting their way to the top

time to read

5 mins

January 23, 2026

The Independent

The Independent

Starmer absent from ‘peace board’ signing ceremony

Sir Keir Starmer has not taken part in Donald Trump’s signing ceremony for his Gaza “board of peace” - which Vladimir Putin has been invited to join - in what could be viewed as a snub to the US president.

time to read

3 mins

January 23, 2026

The Independent

The Independent

CONTROLLED RAGE

As 'Saipan' recreates Ireland captain Roy Keane's nuclear row with Mick McCarthy before the 2002 World Cup, Jim White asks why the footballer turned pundit is so deeply compelling

time to read

6 mins

January 23, 2026

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