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Diesel crack surge, INR depreciation and retail tailwinds support Reliance outlook: JP Morgan
The Daily Guardian
|October 02, 2025
Reliance Industries Limited (RIL) is expected to benefit from the recent surge in diesel cracks, seasonal demand, and depreciation of INR, according to a report by JP Morgan, which has maintained an Overweight (OW) rating on the stock with a September 2026 price target of Rs 1,695.
Diesel cracks have risen sharply over the past month--from around USD 16/bbl to approximately USD 20/bbI--driven by falling Russian diesel exports. JP Morgan estimates these exports have declined by about 200kbpd since early August, from 880kbd to 693kbd by the end of that month.
A diesel crack refers to the profit margin refiners earn by converting crude oil into diesel. Its the difference between the price of diesel and the price of crude oil.
The report further added that Russia’s planned partial ban on diesel exports for September and October could reduce volumes to below 620kbd.
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