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A big GDP milest WILL IT MEANE

Mint Mumbai

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December 31, 2025

The year 2025 saw key public reforms, but India faced many tests along the are within striking distance. But once the dust settles, we must contend with

- Pragya Srivastava & Payal Bhattacharya

As the year 2025 drew to a close, thousands of spectators braved Delhi's foul air, made stagnant by the unyielding winter winds, to catch a glimpse of Lionel Messi. Not long ago, it would have been a regular meet-and-greet between a legendary footballer and eager fans. But this one was different. Fans booed the city-state's chief minister for the poor air, a grievance likely unheard of in Messi's home nation of Argentina, a fellow emerging economy.

Cut to 2026, three months in. India will expand to $4 trillion in GDP by then, just $150 billion shy of beating Japan and likely to cross the latter in FY27 to reach No. 4 in the global pecking order (see chart 1). That will be a momentous milestone: the pandemic had dashed India's dream of clocking $5 trillion by 2025, and a success marker was long due. India will soon cross that goal, too.

Yet, as the confetti of success stories-and there are quite a few of them-settles, a more complex reality becomes evident, one that is represented more by the scenes at the Delhi stadium than by the accolades for milestones that are inevitable for our size.

A nation of 1.45 billion is increasingly hungry for better lives.

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