Reform likely to win most seats if general election now – poll

REFORM UK would be on course to win most seats, with no party close to an overall majority, if an election were held imminently, a poll suggests.

- Nina Lloyd

Labour could lose 246 MPs, including 10 Cabinet ministers, with major losses in the so-called red wall - Scotland and the Welsh Valleys - according to the More In Common survey.

Based on polling of more than 16,000 people, the data suggests a potential fracturing of the vote that could reshape the electoral map, with Labour's support splintering left and right.

Reform would win 180 seats on an implied vote share of 23.7%, with the Tories and Labour tied on 165 seats each at 24.3% and 24.5% respectively, according to the modelling.

Reform would take Clwyd North, while the Conservatives would take Clwyd East and Wrexham from Labour.

Deputy Prime Minister Angela Rayner, Chancellor of the Duchy of Lancaster Pat McFadden and Energy Secretary Ed Miliband are among those who could lose to candidates from Nigel Farage’s party, More In Common said.