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Inequality hasn't risen. Here's why it feels like it has

The Straits Times

|

January 08, 2025

What appears on the surface to be a flat trend in Western countries masks churn beneath and growing middle class angst.

- John Burn-Murdoch

Inequality hasn't risen. Here's why it feels like it has

It's a curious thing. Between around 1980 and the late 1990s, the English-speaking world saw an explosion in concern about inequality, matching a clear widening of the gap between rich and poor on both sides of the Atlantic. But a second sharp rise in public concern about income disparities over the past decade has taken place during a period when most measures of inequality show no rise, or even a slight decline.

By inequality, we mean some measure of the dispersion between top and bottom. The Gini coefficient of income inequality, which captures the overall fairness of the distribution, has been either flat or falling for the past two decades in Britain, America and much of Western Europe. The ratio between the earnings of the top and bottom 10 per cent is not dissimilar. If anything, it has been falling.

Public concern about income gaps has clearly become decoupled from the measured reality, but why?

One theory is that what people are really feeling is the recent slowdown in economic growth. This is almost certainly true, but I think there may also be something else at work.

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