China, Japan must regain their composure
The Statesman Bhubaneswar
|December 16, 2025
Tensions between China and Japan have escalated rapidly in recent weeks, raising serious concerns about the stability of Northeast Asia.
As both sides harden their positions and display military force, the scenario of an accidental conflict can no longer be dismissed as purely a remote possibility. The region once again stands at a dangerous crossroads.The current crisis began in early November, when Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi stated that a potential conflict over Taiwan could constitute a “survival-threatening situation” for Japan. The remark implied that Tokyo might consider direct military involvement in a Taiwan contingency. Beijing viewed this as a direct challenge to the "one China" principle and an infringement on Chinese sovereignty, demanding that Japan retract the comment. Tokyo refused.
China responded with a dramatic show of force by deploying an aircraft carrier group and conducting large-scale military operations. Japan subsequently reported that Chinese carrier-borne aircraft locked fire-control radar on Japanese fighter jets, a move that suggested how easily miscalculation or technical error could trigger a dangerous confrontation. The prospect of full-scale war between China and Japan is almost unimaginable and would produce catastrophic consequences for both countries.
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