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What goes up must go down: can Burnley, Leeds and Sunderland buck trend?

The Guardian

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August 15, 2025

We assess the chances of Premier League's new teams avoiding the same fate of promoted clubs for the past two seasons. By Andy Hunter and Louise Taylor

- By Andy Hunter and Louise Taylor

Burnley Reasons to be cheerful There are numerous reasons behind the growing trend of promoted teams going straight back down with a decreasing number of points. One - having to adjust from dominating possession in the Championship to seeing much less of the ball in the Premier League - may not trouble Burnley quite as much as their predecessors.

Scott Parker built the third promotion of his managerial career last season on the back of an outstanding defensive record along with a selfless, fierce team spirit. More pragmatic than Vincent Kompany, the previous manager to take Burnley up in convincing fashion, Parker is not as wedded to a style that can be found out at Premier League level without serious investment.

Burnley will be resilient; they have added experience in Kyle Walker and Martin Dubravka and they know what is in store.

In Armando Broja, the club have acquired a talented striker determined to make up for time lost to injury.

Reasons to be fearful Burnley spent about £100m after winning promotion under Kompany in 2023 and still went down with a measly 24 points. The gap grows bigger each year, with promoted clubs at a disadvantage from the off owing to the Premier League's profitability and sustainability rules.

In James Trafford and CJ Egan-Riley, they have lost two key members of the defensive unit responsible for keeping 30 clean sheets last season and conceding 16 goals in 46 games - the best defensive record in English league history. Josh Brownhill, the captain and top goalscorer last term, has followed Egan-Riley in rejecting a new contract and leaving on a free transfer. Replacing the midfielder's leadership and goals will not be easy.

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