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Rupee's managed float: Should RBI shift gear?
Mint Mumbai
|December 23, 2024
To Mint Street's credit, India resolved a macro trilemma in its own special way. Recalibrate it for a more market-priced rupee if the expected trade gains outweigh price-stability risks.
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The Indian rupee has been under pressure in recent months, with more of it being converted into US dollars than the other way round.
Last week, its exchange rate slipped below 85 to the dollar. The truly remarkable bit, however, is how gentle the slide has been, given the recent outflows from share sell-offs by foreign investors, strong dollar demand from importers and the greenback's global gains in anticipation of Donald Trump's policies. Attribute this to how actively the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) has been managing the rupee's 'managed float.' Since RBI intervention in the forex market has winners and losers both, a debate has arisen over it. A sharp drawdown of its forex reserves is a tell-tale sign of heavy dollar sales to support the rupee's value.
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