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'26 governor's race is wide open, poll says

Los Angeles Times

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August 26, 2025

For president, voters in California prefer Newsom over Harris in 2028, survey shows.

- BY SEEMA MEHTA

'26 governor's race is wide open, poll says

PHIL WILLON Los Angeles Times DEMOCRATIC gubernatorial candidates speak to union members at a conference in Sacramento in May.

Former Vice President Kamala Harris' decision to forgo a run for California governor has created a wide-open race in next year's election to run the nation's most populous state, according to a poll released Tuesday by UC Berkeley and the Los Angeles Times.

Nearly 4 in 10 registered voters surveyed said they are uncertain about whom they will support in the 2026 contest to replace termed-out Gov. Gavin Newsom.

"It's very unsettled. Most of the voters, the plurality in this poll, are undecided," said Mark DiCamillo, director of the poll, which was conducted by UC Berkeley's Institute of Governmental Studies and cosponsored by The Times. "They don't really know much about the candidates."

Among those who had a preference, former Democratic Rep. Katie Porter of Irvine had a small edge as the top choice, with the backing of 17%. Riverside County Sheriff Chad Bianco, a Republican, was the only other candidate who received double-digit support, winning the backing of 10% of respondents.

DiCamillo said Porter's unsuccessful 2024 U.S. Senate campaign boosted her recognition among California voters, but cautioned that she had a small, early lead more than nine months before the June 2 primary. Bianco’s support was driven by voters focused on crime and public safety, taxes and the budget deficit, perennial concerns among GOP voters, according to the survey.

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