Valleys losses for Labour predicted in election poll

REFORM UK would be on course to win most seats, with no party close to an overall majority, if an election were held imminently, a new poll suggests.

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Labour could lose 246 MPs, including 10 Cabinet ministers, with major losses in the Welsh Valleys, Scotland and so-called red wall, according to the More in Common survey.

Based on polling of more than 16,000 people, the data suggests a potential fracturing of the vote that could reshape the electoral map, with Labour's support splintering left and right.

Reform would win 180 seats on an implied vote share of 23.7%, with the Tories and Labour tied on 165 seats each at 24.3% and 24.5% respectively, according to the modelling.