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US-India yield spread, global factors may curb active flows
Financial Express Kochi
|July 03, 2025
WITH INDIAN GOVERNMENT bonds being included in the FTSE Russell Emerging Market Index in September, several factors, including US-India yield spreads, will be key for active fund inflows, said market participants.
The current policy rate differential with the US is at 100 basis points, far below its historical average of above 400 bps, will definitely act as a deterrent in terms of capital flows," said Dipanwita Mazumdar, economist at Bank of Baroda.
Currently, the US Fed rate is at 4.5% whereas the repo rate stands at 5.5%. At the same time, while the yield on 10-year benchmark bond closed at 6.2892% on Wednesday, the same on US Treasury stood at 4.29% on Tuesday.
"Any further reallocation of capital will happen when the differential (between India and US bond yields) comes down," said Vishal Goenka, co-founder of IndiaBonds.
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