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Midlands and the NW set to overtake London for growth in house prices

Derby Telegraph

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December 11, 2025

THE Midlands and the North West of England are poised to outperform London for cumulative percentage house price growth since prices reached a low point after the 2008 financial crash, according to a housing market forecast.

- By VICKY SHAW

Overall, house prices are expected to record “modest” percentage growth next year, rising by 2.5% annually across Britain in the fourth quarter of 2026, according to Hamptons.

But price growth in London is expected to be flat, with a 0.0% annual change in the fourth quarter of 2026 as the market digests tax changes, the property firm said.

It expects to see small price falls in the £1.9 million-plus house price bracket, which it said is likely to be offset by price growth in the mainstream market.

In the Budget, the Government announced a high value council tax surcharge in England on homes above £2 million from April 2028.

There will be four price bands with the surcharge starting at £2,500-a-year for properties worth more than £2 million, and rising to £7,500 for properties worth more than £5 million.

Prime country markets saw strong house price growth following the coronavirus pandemic, during the “race for space”.

But Hamptons said properties above £2 million could see around a 5% price correction, but this is expected to be a one-off adjustment rather than a prolonged decline, as markets...stabilise.

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