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Future trajectory
Business Standard
|October 20, 2025
Policy rate cut is not certain yet
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The data released last week showed that the consumer price index-based inflation rate declined to a 99-month low of 1.54 per cent in September. This has increased market expectations of a policy reporate cut in the December meeting of the Reserve Bank of India’s (RBI's) Monetary Policy Committee (MPC).
The minutes of the last MPC meeting, also released last week, showed that members were of the view that the space for policy support had opened up. However, the decision at the December MPC meeting will depend on a range of factors, and the incoming data until then will be crucial in shaping the consensus view.
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