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Lost in the labyrinth

New Zealand Listener

|

March 1-7, 2025

New Zealand was once one of the world’s most prosperous countries but it’s been mainly) down hill since the 60s. Dany. McLaucuLan identifies what’s gone wrong and the changes needed to keep us afloat.

Lost in the labyrinth

In 1937, the philosopher Karl Popper fled Austria ahead of its Anschluss with Nazi Germany, eventually finding his way to New Zealand and a teaching position at Canterbury University.

During his time here, Popper wrote his most famous book, The Open Society and its Enemies, a celebration of liberal democracy, one of the 20th century's most influential works of political philosophy.

It was inspired, in part, by his impressions of New Zealand, which he later described as "the bestgoverned country in the world". Economic and social data seemed to support this. During the postwar era, we enjoyed one of the highest per capita incomes in the world: higher than the UK and the rest of Western Europe. A cradle-to-grave welfare system delivered longer life expectancies and near-zero unemployment.

When we congratulated ourselves on being the best country in the world for a child to grow up in, there was a wealth of evidence to prove it.

The decades since have been a period of steady relative decline. By 1996, our GDP per capita fell below the OECD average. Although we think of ourselves as a trading nation, exports as a percentage of GDP have declined since the 2010s: we are now one of the lowestranked OECD nations for trade-openness.

Our productivity has been falling relative to the OECD and has remained stagnant in real terms since 2012. We are being overtaken by more dynamic economies in Europe and East Asia. In a recent Curia poll for the Taxpayers Union, 53% of respondents said they thought the country was "moving in the wrong direction". Outwards migration has never been higher.

What has gone wrong? For politicians, the nation's problems can always be attributed to the government preceding them. For our intelligentsia, all of our failings can be attributed to former finance ministers Roger Douglas and Ruth Richardson and their economic reforms of the 80s and 90s.

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