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NEED TO DECONSTRUCT THE INDIA-CHINA-US TRIANGLE
Extraordinary and Plenipotentiary Diplomatist
|January 2021
Since the turn of the millennium, coinciding with the realization that the Cold War had ended, the geo-political and geo-economic center of the world shifted from the Atlantic Ocean to what is now called the Indo-Pacific Region.
Since then, much of India’s worldview has been dominated either by the prism of the India-China-US triangle or what the India-US relationship means for New Delhi’s engagement with an assertive and once adversarial neighbor, namely, China, and vice versa. Deep-seated Indian suspicions were proved right with the Chinese aggression, first in Doklam (2017) and now Galwan (2020).
The genesis of the triangular discourse, though going back to the long lost pages of history, can be pegged to the Indo-US Civilian Nuclear Agreement of 2005 and the subsequent rewriting of the established global legal norms on nuclear trade, through an exclusive one-time waver in India’s favor. Prior to the rapprochement between New Delhi and Washington, the nature of the India-US bilateral relationship bordered on lukewarm civil cordiality and lacked real meaning.
Substantial Shift
The ‘Nuclear Deal’, as it is known. was not only a technical arrangement between India and the US to open up bilateral and multilateral engagement in what was otherwise a restricted club sans India, but it also marked a very substantial shift in the nature of bilateral political ties. Until 2005, India-US ties were seen within the larger context of South Asia and Washington’s role in balancing its relationship with India and Pakistan and also in playing the role of a self-designated referee or peace-broker with the aim of limiting hostilities between the other two.
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