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Congress prospects post 2024 Lok Sabha elections
The Sunday Guardian
|October 22, 2023
The nature of politics is such that the Congress can grow and prosper across India even if the party loses the 2024 Lok Sabha elections.
In politics, like in cricket and life, almost anything is possible. Congress fans watching the World Cup match between Netherlands and South Africa (not to speak of the one between Afghanistan and England) must have dreamt of their favourite party doing something unexpectedly spectacular in the 2024 Lok Sabha elections. Who knows, Rahul Gandhi, or perhaps some bountiful tool of fate could pull off numerous rabbits off a single hat in a manner that Prime Minister Narendra Modi is denied a third successive Lok Sabha mandate? But there is rhetoric and there is reality on the ground based on data. There can be no doubt that approval and favourability ratings for Rahul Gandhi have improved considerably since his much talked about Bharat Jodo Yatra. Latest CVoter surveys and opinion polls indicate that the Congress is in a strong position to form state governments in Chhattisgarh, Madhya Pradesh and Telangana. But the same CVoter surveys that indicate a Congress victory in these states also indicate a victory for the NDA in 2024. Barring some earth-shaking changes between now and March 2023, the authors do think Prime Minister Modi is the oddson favourite to win yet again in 2024.
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