The trust problem with China's ICBM test

Beijing should consider how to enhance military transparency amid regional fears

- Lim Min Zhang

BEIJING – China's rare test of an intercontinental ballistic missile, or ICBM, which was launched into the Pacific Ocean on Sept 25, has sparked concerns among regional countries fearing greater military build-up and the potential for the use of nuclear weapons.

New Zealand, Australia and Fiji have expressed varying degrees of concern, citing the need for transparency, reassurance and respect. These protests come despite a Chinese Defence Ministry statement a few hours after the launch to assuage concerns, chiefly saying that it was a "routine one" not targeted at any country.

The episode highlights the importance of managing the upgrades in Chinese war-fighting capabilities, amid China's continued military modernisation, growing nuclear arsenal, and the expanding influence of the People's Liberation Army (PLA) far beyond its shores.

The frosty reception came despite China's public acknowledgement of the test and attempts to downplay its geopolitical significance, while emphasising its internal, technical objectives. The launch "effectively tested the performance of weapons and equipment and the training level of the troops, and achieved the expected goal", the state media reported.

China's missile development is a plausible response to the introduction of new military platforms in the region that can reach mainland China. In April, the US deployed the Typhon mid-range missile launchers to northern Philippines for a joint military exercise, with Philippine officials indicating in September they could remain in the country indefinitely. Earlier that month, US Army Secretary Christine Wormuth said the Typhon could also be deployed to Japan.