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China's factory output slows but still resilient; retail sales miss forecasts
The Straits Times
|May 20, 2025
China's factory output slowed in April but showed surprising resilience, a sign that government support measures may have cushioned the impact of a trade war with the US that threatens to derail momentum in the world's second-largest economy.
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BEIJING -
Industrial output grew 6.1 percent from a year earlier, National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) data showed on May 19, slowing from 7.7 percent in March but beating a forecast 5.5 percent rise in a Reuters poll.
"April's resilience is in part a result of 'front-loaded' fiscal support," said senior economist Tianchen Xu at the Economist Intelligence Unit, referring to stronger government spending.
The data followed firmer-than-expected exports earlier in May that economists said were supported by exporters rerouting shipments and countries buying more materials from China amid a reordering of global trade due to US President Donald Trump's tariffs.
However, May 19's data underscored the shock from US reciprocal tariffs, Mr Xu added, noting that "despite the rapid growth in industrial value-added, the export delivery value was nearly stagnant".
Beijing and Washington reached a surprise agreement last week to roll back most tariffs imposed on each other's goods since early April. The 90-day pause has put the brakes on a trade war that has disrupted global supply chains and stoked recession fears.
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