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Why Economists Are Urging Caution Despite Strong GDP Growth in First Qtr

The New Indian Express Chennai

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September 01, 2025

DESPITE India's economy growing stronger-than-expected at 7.8% in the first quarter of FY26, economists caution that the growth print looks brighter than the underlying reality—thanks largely to a sharp drop in the GDP deflator from 3.4% in the previous quarter to 1% in Q1 of FY26, the lowest in 6 years.

- DIPAK MONDAL @New Delhi

Why Economists Are Urging Caution Despite Strong GDP Growth in First Qtr

The GDP deflator, which adjusts nominal GDP for inflation, fell sharply as both wholesale price index (WPI) and consumer price index (CPI) inflation moderated in April-June. This pushed real GDP growth higher, even as nominal GDP growth slowed to 8.8% from 10.8% in the previous quarter.

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