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Path to the White House Sun belt offers Harris a new way to clinch victory
The Guardian
|August 17, 2024
Kamala Harris's surge in popularity since replacing Joe Biden as the Democratic presidential nominee has opened up a surprise second path to victory in November, according to a fresh analysis of recent voter surveys.
An aggregate of polls modelled by the Washington Post showed that the US vice-president has become newly competitive in four southern "sun belt" states that were previously leaning heavily towards Donald Trump, the Republican nominee and former president.
If the trend holds, it means Harris could scrape an electoral college victory either by winning those states - Georgia, Arizona, Nevada and North Carolina - or, alternatively, by capturing three swing states in the midwestern "rust belt": Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin.
Trump, by contrast, would need to capture both groups of states to earn the 270 electoral college votes necessary to secure victory, according to the model.
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