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Credit markets brush off tariff worries

Mint Kolkata

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February 10, 2025

Even US President Donald Trump's tariff rhetoric can't rattle credit markets, a sign to some money managers and strategists that the market is too complacent.

- Bloomberg

Prices on credit default swaps (CDS) barely moved on Monday amid the prospect of levies being introduced on Mexican and Canadian goods, even as trading volume in the derivatives more than doubled from the previous week's daily average. By Tuesday, activity had returned to more typical levels.

CDS didn't sell off because "credit remains a tight asset class with the most stretched valuations across the board," said Gabriele Foa, an Algebris Investments portfolio manager whose Global Opportunities Fund has "extremely cautious" positioning at present. "In high yield, CDS has only been at current levels three times in the last 10 years and that's been followed by a sharp widening in the six to nine months after that."

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