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Nigeria's Crude Oil Export Drops 16% to N12.95 Trillion in Q1 2025

The Business NG

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The BusinessNG

Nigeria's crude oil export earnings dropped significantly to N12.95 trillion in the first quarter of 2025, marking a 16.34% decline from the N15.49 trillion recorded during the same period in 2024.

The figure also represents a 6.01% fall from the N13.78 trillion posted in the fourth quarter of 2024. This is according to the latest Foreign Trade in Goods Statistics released by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS).

Despite the sharp drop, crude oil still dominated Nigeria's export portfolio, accounting for 62.89% of the country's total exports, which stood at N20.6 trillion for the quarter. Analysts attribute the decline to falling global crude prices and operational difficulties faced by some local refiners, which have struggled to access sufficient crude feedstock.

Interestingly, while crude oil export earnings declined, Nigeria recorded a trade surplus of N5.17 trillion in Q1 2025, up by 51.07% from the N3.42 trillion reported in the previous quarter. This was supported by a surge in non-crude oil exports and a reduction in import bills, leading to a total trade value of N36.02 trillion—a 6.19% year-on-year increase.

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SERAP Sues Akpabio, Abbas Over Missing N18.6bn NASC Office Funds

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MPC Meeting: All Eyes on CBN as Analysts Predict Fresh Rate Cut

As Nigeria's Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) prepares to meet on November 24-25, analysts across the financial sector are forecasting another policy rate cut, citing easing inflation, stronger macroeconomic fundamentals, and improved foreign exchange stability. The meeting comes just weeks after the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) cut the Monetary Policy Rate (MPR) by 50 basis points to 27%, marking the first rate reduction in nearly ten consecutive policy meetings under Governor Olayemi Cardoso. Stakeholders say this week's meeting will be a decisive test of the CBN's confidence in Nigeria's emerging disinflation trend. Inflation eased to 16.05% in October—down from 18.02% in September—following the CPI rebasing exercise and improvements in food supply, FX liquidity, and general price stability.

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More Nigerians Seek Schooling Abroad as Education Crisis Triggers $1.39bn Outflow

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2026 Tax Reform Triggers Concerns Over Data Privacy, Income Monitoring

Nigeria's new tax framework, set to take effect in January 2026, is stirring debate over the government's ability to access citizens' personal financial data, particularly for remote workers and Nigerians with foreign assets.

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Nigeria Launches 2025 Oil and Gas Licensing Round on Dec 1

Nigeria is set to launch its 2025 oil and gas licensing round on December 1, as the Nigerian Upstream Petroleum Regulatory Commission (NUPRC) moves to revive the country's production capacity and attract fresh global investment.

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Investors Scramble for N1.23tn T-Bills as Market Signals Yield Peak

Nigeria's Treasury Bills market continued its bullish momentum at the November 19, 2025 auction, with investors submitting an overwhelming N1.23 trillion in bids for the 364-day tenornearly triple the Central Bank of Nigeria's (CBN) N450 billion offer. The aggressive demand signals a clear race by investors to lock in high yields before the expected monetary policy easing cycle begins in 2026.

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Court Sentences Nnamdi Kanu to Life Imprisonment for Terrorism

Leader of the Indigenous People of Biafra (IPOB), Nnamdi Kanu, has been sentenced to life imprisonment by a Federal High Court in Abuja after being convicted on all seven terrorism charges filed against him by the Federal Government.

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Panic Selloffs, FX Fears Hammer Banking Stocks, ASI Down 3.5%

Nigeria's equities market remained under severe pressure through November 2025, with the All-Share Index (ASI) declining steadily on the back of heavy selloffs in banking stocks.

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GDP Debate: Analysts Split on Nigeria's Q3 Performance

As Nigeria prepares to release its Q3 2025 GDP report, analysts remain divided on how the economy performed. Some expect a modest expansion of 3.6%-3.9%, while others forecast a stronger 4.5% growth, building on the 4.23% recorded in Q2.

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