Poll predicts losses for Labour

REFORM UK would be on course to win most seats, with no party close to an overall majority if an election were held imminently, a new poll suggests.

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Labour could lose 246 MPs, including 10 Cabinet ministers, with major losses in the Welsh Valleys, Scotland and so-called red wall, according to the More in Common survey.

Based on polling of more than 16,000 people, the data suggests a potential fracturing of the vote that could reshape the electoral map, with Labour's support splintering left and right.

Reform would win 180 seats on an implied vote share of 23.7%, with the Tories and Labour tied on 165 seats each at 24.3% and 24.5% respectively, according to the modelling.