USDA cuts Philippine rice import forecast due to two-month ban

PHILIPPINE RICE IMPORTS are projected to decline by 500,000 metric tons (MT) this year compared to initial projections due to the two-month import ban set to take effect in September, according to the United States Department of Agriculture (USDA).

- By Justine Irish D. Tabile Reporter

In its Grain: World Markets and Trade Report issued in August, the USDA’s Foreign Agricultural Service estimated that the country’s rice imports will fall by 9.3% to 4.9 million MT this year, from an earlier projection of 5.4 million MT.

The US agency attributed the lower projections to President Ferdinand R. Marcos, Jr’s order to suspend rice imports for two months beginning Sept. 1 to protect local farmers.

He made the decision after the Department of Agriculture recommended the two-month ban amid declining farmgate prices.

Despite the lower projections, the USDA report showed the Philippines will remain the world’s largest rice importer this year.

The Bureau of Plant Industry reported that 2.58 million MT of rice had arrived in the country as of Aug. 7. Last year, the country imported 4.81 million MT of rice.

Meanwhile, the USDA projected for the Philippines’ milled rice production to reach 12.37 million MT in the marketing year 2024 to 2025, while it anticipates an output of 12.3 million MT for the marketing year 2025 to 2026.

The marketing year for rice starts in July and ends in June of the following year.

Earlier this year, the DA said that it expects the country to achieve a record rice harvest of 20.46 million MT or even surpass it.

Data from the Philippine Statistics Authority showed that the first six months of palay production reached 9.08 million MT, up 6.41% from 8.53 million MT in the same period last year.

In 2024, the country’s palay production reached 20.06 million MT, the highest-ever harvest of the Philippines’ national staple.